转贴WhoScored对马竞在诺坎普决战巴萨预测，倾向性已经很明显
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Match Focus: Stretched Atlético's Chance to Make History Against Barcelona
比赛前瞻聚焦：马竞把握战略机遇期直面巴萨将创造属于自己的历史
by David Cartlidge at Thursday, May 15 2014 16:14
And then there were two... 赛前两家的机遇和诉求...
It just so happens that this particular two will play each other on La Liga’s final day of the season. Barcelona face Atlético Madrid in what promises to be one of the most spectacular showdowns in Spanish football history. If Barcelona win, they will retain the title thanks to a superior head-to-head record, and that will make it nine times that they have won the Liga crown on the final day. If Atleti win or draw, they will win it for the first time since 1996. 事有凑巧，这两支球队偏要在本赛季的西甲最后一轮相遇。巴萨主场迎战马竞，这将成为西班牙足球史上最壮观的摊牌场景之一。如果巴萨获胜，他们将凭借相互交锋的优势卫冕联赛，从而第九次成为联赛收官日的大赢家。如果马竞获胜或打平，他们将自1996年后首度问鼎。
If Atleti hadn’t produced such a dismal performance against Málaga last weekend we wouldn’t have had any of this, of course. There was a distinct lack of intensity in that game, though maybe it was to be expected, with their small squad tested to its limits by this stage of the season. The small matter of a Champions League final awaits Atleti too, in a season in which they have played 59 games and have eight players to have played over 4000 minutes already. There is no time for them to catch their breath. 自然，倘若上周末马竞对马拉加时表现得不是如此令人沮丧，我们就不用看这一台戏了。那场比赛他们明显不够凶狠，虽然这可能在许多人的意料之中，毕竟他们有限的阵容厚度战至此处已近极限。欧冠决赛还等着马竞来战，在这个赛季他们打了59场比赛，队中有八人的上场时间超过了4000分钟。他们没有时间来调整呼吸。
For Barça, meanwhile, they need something to show for a season that has been marred by its mediocrity. Yet despite this dismal campaign, they are still there, in with a chance of a trophy they have become accustomed to winning. A Champions League quarter final, a Copa Del Rey Final and a possible La Liga crown – on paper it doesn’t look so bad. In reality, however, the standards of the club are so high it will be deemed a failure should they end the season without a trophy; it would be the first time they have done so in six years. Change is inevitably coming in the summer, but for the time being there still remains something to play for. 与此同时，巴萨在一个平庸的赛季的最后需要展现出一些东西。即便这个赛季令人失望，他们仍然没倒下，有机会争取他们习以为常的奖杯。欧冠八强，国王杯决赛，以及可能的联赛冠军——纸面上看这并不糟糕。事实上，俱乐部的标准太高，如果他们本赛季一无所获，将注定被视为失败，那将是他们六年来的第一次。夏天的变革不可避免，但此记得他们仍有目标去为之战斗。
Contrast in style counts 风格鲜明对照
The styles of the teams couldn’t be more contrasting across the course of the season, and so has what their coaches – both of whom are Argentinean – profess. Barça’s build-up this season has often been overly ponderous and lacked the penetration of previous years, despite a prolific start to life under Tata Martino. The intensity and incision their play requires to be successful must be present against Atleti, because their opponents will come at them at 100mph. Barça will likely be allowed the ball by Atleti if previous meetings this term are anything to go by, and with 67.8% of possession, it’s unsurprising the Catalans top this column in Spain. Accordingly, they too come out on top in terms of short passes, making 609 per game this season. This eclipses second-placed Real Madrid, who manage 472, while Atleti have averaged just 359. A goal tally of 99, however, is proof there is punch to Barça’s pondering though, and Atleti will of course be more than aware of this. 本赛季的征途显示出两队的风格泾渭分明，两位教头——都是阿根廷人——亦是如此。本赛季的巴萨虽然在马蒂诺手下开局强势，但他们的组织攻势常常想得太多，缺乏过去几年的穿透力。对阵马竞他们必须拿出专注和犀利，这对他们的风格至关重要，因为他们的对手将全速向他们冲来。根据过去几次交手的经验，马竞会让出控球，巴萨67.8%的控球毫无意外也是联赛之首。相应地，他们每场609次的短传也是第一，排在第二位的皇马只有472次，形成了鲜明的对比，而马竞只有359次。但99个进球表明巴萨在沉思之后仍然能挥出重拳，马竞一定会格外注意。
Atleti make their own way to the goal; they use a direct style that has produced 42 goals in open play. They are strong in other areas, though, and show their physical threat with 17 goals from set pieces (the third most in La Liga), while another 8 have come on the counter attack (also third most). Crossing, too, has become a big feature at Atleti, though the Champions League first leg against Chelsea highlighted that too many crosses isn’t necessarily a good thing. In La Liga, meanwhile, Atleti make the fourth most crosses per game (24.7) and given Barça’s well-documented troubles in defence and, in particular, aerially, crosses might well prove key at Camp Nou. When facing aerial bombardment, Atleti themselves are solid, to the extent that they have allowed their opponents the fewest headed attempts in La Liga this season (46).
马竞的进攻独树一帜；他们直来直往，在运动战中打进了42球。但他们也有别的长处，17次利用定位球得分（排在联赛第三）展现了他们身体条件的优势，8次利用反击得分（也是联赛第三）。传中也成了马竞的一大特征，虽然对切尔西的第一回合交手表明传中太多也不是什么好事。同时在联赛中，马竞每场24.7次的传中排在联赛第四，给巴萨防守造成的麻烦也是有据可寻，在诺坎普，传中和空中争夺可能会成为比赛的关键。马竞自己防守高空轰炸则十分稳固，到了什么程度呢？他们本赛季让对手头球攻门的次数（46）是西甲中最少的。 | 
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发表于 2014-5-12 13:19:11
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